If Rootclaim/Saar analyze Al-Shifa Hospital, will they conclude it was used for "command and control activities"?
GeopolíticaOne-OffXadrezOriente MédioEsportes2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities" 45.1%Líder entre 7 opções
If they take a stance before 2027, Rootclaim/Saar will give a >90% probability that the Hospital was used for "command and control activities" 45.1%Previsores
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado4/01/24, 22:35 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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This is an attempt to anchor predictions about the alleged military use of Al-Shifa Hospital to a reliable resolution source.
- This question is specifically about the claims made by US Intelligence that the hospital was used to "Exercise certain command and control activities" as reported in this AP article :
- “The U.S. Intelligence Community is confident in its judgment on this topic and has independently corroborated information on HAMAS and PIJ’s use of the hospital complex for a variety of purposes related to its campaign against Israel,” the assessment states.
- It continues that it believes the groups “used the al-Shifa hospital complex and sites beneath it to house command infrastructure, exercise certain command and control activities, store some weapons, and hold at least a few hostages.”
- Rootclaim is an organization known for doing probabilistic analysis of unclear events, including events related to war.
- They challenge anyone who disagrees with their claims to prove them wrong in a debate with neutral judges and win large sums of money.
