If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
InflaçãoCommoditiesPolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations" 100%Líder entre 56 opções
"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations" 100%Previsores
96
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado24/01/24, 11:20 UTC1/01/29, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected in 2024, will he be impeached again?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Manifold MarketsGas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
Manifold MarketsWhat will gas hit the week of October 26?
PolymarketRegras
Which of Donald Trump's campaign promises will he actually achieve?
- All options are taken from https://www.donaldjtrump.com/issues or https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-cementing-fair-and-reciprocal-trade-with-the-trump-reciprocal-trade-act
- Resolves YES for any items that have been achieved by the end of his presidency.
- They have to actually have been achieved (for example, a bill has passed to ban trans women from participating in women's sports, a constitutional amendment has been passed), though it doesn't have to be the most complete version, just enough that it's reasonable to say that it has been achieved (for example, trans women could be banned at the high school level but not college level).
- He doesn't have to have directly caused it to happen, it just has to have happened.
- They do have to have occurred nationwide however (so individual states banning trans women would not count without a nationwide ban).
