If AI has an okay outcome, was it because of humanity doing something beyond business-as-usual?
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Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 63.9%
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Atualizado há 40 minutos
7/04/26, 18:10 UTC7/04/31, 18:08 UTC
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Resolves N/A if AI does not have an ok outcome.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if
- this OK outcome is because of an AI pause
- OR the transhumanist future is achieve through non-AI technology
- OR humans are enhanced as part of the process by which alignment is solved
- OR there is a nonroutine effort for alignment, with AI being made by an organisation that makes alignment a top priority, treating it the primary function of the organisation and as a blocker on capabilities rather than something that can be done alongside capabilities.