If a House vote on Hegseth Impeachment happens in 2026, How many Republicans vote to impeach?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA1m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual1 or more 99%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+49.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
8/11/26, 20:07 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- Precondition: This market resolves N/A across all options if the U.S. House of Representatives does not hold a roll call vote on at least one resolution or article impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth during calendar year 2026.
- If a qualifying roll call vote occurs, each threshold option resolves independently based on the official number of House Republicans who vote "Yea" on the impeachment resolution:
- If multiple votes occur, resolves based on the first impeachment vote.
- Independents who caucus with republicans count as republicans.
- Resolves based on the actual impeachment vote, not any vote that may allow it to be voted on etc