How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolítica Eleição US Politics4m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

51 18.5%+0.1pt

Líder entre 12 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

+1.5 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 horas

Desatualizado

2/04/25, 0:164/01/27, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Comparacao de fontes de previsao

Também disponível em Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolítica Eleição US Politics4m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

51 18.5%+0.1pt

Líder entre 12 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

+1.5 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 horas

Desatualizado

2/04/25, 0:164/01/27, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Comparacao de fontes de previsao

Também disponível em Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: A Manifold Markets cota 51 em 19% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
Quando How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? é resolvido?: How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de janeiro de 2027.
Como How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
Onde mais How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? está listado?: A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Comparacao de fontes de previsao

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Comparacao de fontes de previsao

Perguntas frequentes

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