How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
1.9 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoPolítica dos EUAEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20262mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual52 15.8%-1.9ptLíder entre 12 opções
Previsores
56
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
2/04/25, 00:16 UTC4/01/27, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
