How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20263m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 54 · —
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Preço registado
At least 54 56%Líder entre 13 opções
At least 54 56%Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
59,2 €
Contratos em aberto
66,4 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 54Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
2/11/26, 06:00 UTC1/02/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 54
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Democratic Party holds at least 54 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:United States Congress
- Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2026 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 54
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 54 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 55 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 46 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 47
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 47 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 48 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 49
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 49 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 50 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 51
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 51 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 52 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 53
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 53 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 56 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 57
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 57 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
