Will the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61%
Previsores
86
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
21/10/26, 21:45 UTC2/02/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 53 or more seats in the specified chamber of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
