Will the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.9%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 36 minutos
22/10/26, 02:50 UTC2/02/27, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 54 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
- Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.
