Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 66.6%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 32 minutos
23/07/25, 21:33 UTC1/01/35, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The highest altitude nuclear explosion prior to market creation appears to be the third Argus test at 794 kilometers, but information is scarce.
- If that number is wrong, this market resolves based on the correct number.
- The explosion must be human-caused.
- A natural or alien one does not count.
- This resolves based on altitude above Earth, so an explosion on the moon or Mars would count.
- (Unless they get a lot closer, in which case I may not be able to resolve this market promptly.)
