Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualYang-Mills & The Mass Gap 49.7%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-12.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado9/04/24, 19:28 UTC1/01/99, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiRegras
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- For each market : If the 1 million dollar prize pledged by the Clay Institute of Mathematics for the resolution of the associated problem is taken, then it resolves YES.
- (Typically : someone solves the problem and accepts the money)
- If it’s clearly consensual that it won’t be taken, then it esolves NO.
- (For example, if the Clay Institute of Mathematics ceases to exist and no money is saved to be awarded later, all remaining problems shall resolve NO ; if someone solves a problem, is awarded the money and refuses it, the corresponding question resolves NO.)
- If the money is awarded and redirected (like idk someone gets the prize and asks for it to be given to MIRI), this resolves YES.