Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.7%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
10/11/26, 05:25 UTC30/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases or makes publicly available the model designated as Claude Fable 5.5 (or an official model under the Fable 5.5 designation) on or before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- "Released" is defined as public availability via any official channel, including the Claude API / Platform, the Claude web or desktop interface, or official cloud partners (e.g., AWS Bedrock, Google Cloud Vertex AI, Microsoft Foundry).
- Official announcements from Anthropic's Newsroom or the official @AnthropicAI X account announcing the release will qualify.
- Closed, private developer previews or unconfirmed model routing/leaks do not count unless Anthropic formally recognizes the release or opens general or public beta access.