Events in Russia within a year after Russia-Ukraine war ends [add answers]
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / Ucrânia
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 19:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualDirect commercial flights to the EU resume 58.3%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado9/08/25, 10:26 UTC1/01/50, 20:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The closing date of this market will be determined as the date when Russia's war in Ukraine ends (according to Wikipedia) + 1 year.
- (If it happens to be February 29th, then the date is March 1st of the following year).
- In case it resumes some time later, the closing date will NOT change.
- Each option will be resolved to YES or NO based on whether the event occured between the day the war ends and the closing date.
- If it does happen between the two mentioned dates, it resolves YES.
- If an obviously irreversible event (e.g. someone's death) happens before the war ends, it resolves NO.
