Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77.7%
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30
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado22/06/23, 04:40 UTC1/01/29, 22:43 UTC
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-"Does": the main cause must have been the AI, not external circumstance.
- -"an": must be a single event (we are not combining unrelated smaller disasters).
- -"AI": must be a system (or multiple systems) that relied on artificial intelligence for its decisions.
- -"disaster": the AI must've done something that most smart people would say is malicious, reckless, or poor judgement.
- Unless the AI was directly following orders by a human who we agree was authorized to give those orders, then that doesn't count.
- -"kill": they must have deceased, not merely been injured/poisoned/etc.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029? é resolvido?
- Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: -"Does": the main cause must have been the AI, not external circumstance.