Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 70.4%
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado19/05/24, 21:32 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.
- The market will stay open until a media consensus is reached, and be conservative about resolution.
- It may be a long time before it resolves.
- Resolution is delegated to Manifold (the mods if there's no newer system) in the event if it is disputed or not obvious.
Mercados abertos
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POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
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POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
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- € 6 mil
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- September 30-1.0pt6%
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- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
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- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) é resolvido?
- Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.