Este mercado foi resolvido: right-authoritarian (21%)
Resolvido: 12 de ago. de 2026, 19:39
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualright-libertarian 30.5%-30.5ptLíder entre 4 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-30.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 dias
Desatualizado13/07/26, 22:3312/08/26, 19:39
Tendências
30.5%
24.3%
24.3%
21%
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political quadrant direction that Anthropic's Claude 5 Opus (also referred to as "Opus 5" or the equivalent 5-series flagship Opus model) is classified under on the standard 2D Political Compass, AS COMPARED TO THE CLASSIFICATION OF Claude 5 Sonnet.
- This market will not consider Fable / Mythos tier models.
- Primary Source: The market will resolve according to the relative values of the coordinates displayed on the TrackingAI Political Compass tracker.
- Quadrant Mapping:
- left-libertarian: Economic score < 0, Social score < 0 (bottom-left quadrant).
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 255,6 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 143,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 130,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,8 mi
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift?
- A Manifold Markets cota right-libertarian em 31% em 13 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift é resolvido?
- Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift deverá ser resolvido em 12 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria