By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado13/09/23, 20:40 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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The question will resolve to yes if the interactive map of the Institute for the Study of War shows that Ukraine controls any part of the Crimea Oblast at the time when a ceasefire (or a peace treaty) is signed.
- The Crimea Oblast is as defined in the Ukrainian maps before the 2014 Russian invasion.
- It includes any outlying islands and other natural formations but excludes rigs or other man-made structures.
- If there is no ceasefire or peace signed until the end of 2026, the question will resolve to NA.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? é resolvido?
- By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The question will resolve to yes if the interactive map of the Institute for the Study of War shows that Ukraine controls any part of the Crimea Oblast at the time when a ceasefire (or a peace treaty) is signed.