By at least 10 years before human-level AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will be as mainstream as global warming is in 2015
One-OffIA
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.3%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado29/01/23, 04:08 UTC1/01/99, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
10 years before AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will still be less mainstream than global warming was in 2015
Manifold MarketsA government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
Manifold MarketsConditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
Manifold MarketsA full world government will develop before human-level AGI
Manifold MarketsWill NATO admit Argentina as a global partner in 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegras
Copied over from Elicit
