Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 62.5%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado
27/09/23, 02:45 UTC2/01/40, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Regras
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.
This will be achieved by banning transgender content from media and by general control over information and disinformation.
Any officially recognized transgender people will be managed by coerced interventions, either penal or psychiatric, or possibly alternative therapeutic interventions like behavioral therapies, wilderness retreats etc.
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak é resolvido?
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2040.
Como By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.