As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.1%
Previsores
44
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 49 minutos
Atrasado19/07/23, 09:54 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 begin before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegras
Currently, it's estimated that <5% of Russia's military is female, down from a high of around 10%.
- However, men between 18 and 27 already face general conscription.
- With an evident shortfall in military manpower (see: reliance on mercenaries, expansion of recruitment to foreigners and convicts, etc.), will Russia's invasion of Ukraine cause enough instability that requires including women into a draft or the routine conscription?
- History and Current Status of Women in the Russian Military
- Resolves YES if Russia institutes any compulsory military service as a rule on any population of female citizens before the end of the war in Ukraine.
- Otherwise NO when the war ends.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 423,4 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,4 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 mais resultados
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military? é resolvido?
- As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Currently, it's estimated that <5% of Russia's military is female, down from a high of around 10%.