Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 77.9%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado2/01/24, 21:24 UTC1/01/01, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsLightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about primordial black holes?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegras
Naked sigulaeiries are theoretically possible in our current model of physics and spinning black holes.
- However, many physicists believe something must exist to make these types of singularities impossible.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naked_singularity
- A great video on the topic:
- https://youtu.be/1Z5fnwUmTSY?si=PG5bfkFyOKLB_FQT
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/1Z5fnwUmTSY?si=PG5bfkFyOKLB_FQT)This market resolves to YES if definitive evidence arises of an actual naked singularity.
Mercados abertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 211 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 21,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible? é resolvido?
- Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2101.
- Como Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Naked sigulaeiries are theoretically possible in our current model of physics and spinning black holes.