Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 minutos
26/08/25, 16:48 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
RSG = Random Seed Glitchless
- Must be Java version CAN:
- Can use scaffolds or similar.
- Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that.
- Can't get human help.
- Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold)
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028? é resolvido?
- AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: RSG = Random Seed Glitchless