Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.1%
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57
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado27/09/25, 17:31 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
RSG = Random Seed Glitchless
- Must be Java version CAN:
- Can use scaffolds or similar.
- Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that.
- Can't get human help.
- Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold)
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- Volume total
- € 325 mil
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027? é resolvido?
- AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: RSG = Random Seed Glitchless