Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 50.8%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado11/09/26, 19:40 UTC27/10/26, 17:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.
- Resolve NO if the FOMC leaves the target range unchanged or lowers it.
- Resolution will be based on the first official Federal Reserve monetary policy statement issued for the October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The size of the increase does not matter.
- Any increase in the target range counts as YES.
- Changes to forward guidance, the balance sheet, quantitative tightening, Treasury operations, or any other policy measure do not count unless the target range for the federal funds rate is also increased.
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 94,3 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,8 mil
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- € 61,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,6 mil
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 51% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026? é resolvido?
- 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 27 de outubro de 2026.
- Como 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.