Which party will win the House in 2026?
One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202622d
LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 90.5%Líder entre 3 opções
Democratic Party 90.5%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Atualizado há 6 minutos
22/01/26, 13:30 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 90%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 89%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%