PredictItVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução não verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidade implícita atual
Democratic 90%
Democratic 90%Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
-
Volume 24h
2 mil €
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
15/07/25, 13:47 UTC21/01/28, 05:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will win the U.S. House?
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KalshiRegras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
For purposes of resolving this market, delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House shall not be considered.
In the event that no party wins a majority of seats, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
4 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Democratic Party é de 90%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 1 ponto percentual.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 90% · 4 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 89%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
- — Which party will win the U.S. House?
