GeminiKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 90.2%Ajustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,5 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
23/12/25, 16:08 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
3 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Democratic Party é de 91%. As cotações diferem cerca de 2 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas. As plataformas não concordam sobre qual resultado está à frente.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 91% · 3 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 87%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 92%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 93%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 90%
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which party will win the U.S. House??
- A Gemini cota Democratic Party em 90% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which party will win the U.S. House? é resolvido?
- Which party will win the U.S. House? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Which party will win the U.S. House? é liquidado?
- A Gemini liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- Onde mais Which party will win the U.S. House? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em PredictIt, Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.