When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAOriente Médio4d
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 66%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Jan 1, 2027 66%Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
24/09/26, 02:00 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
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KalshiRegras
If the United States and Iran hold a senior-level diplomatic meeting after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The meeting must be deliberately convened for diplomacy or negotiation, and each country must be represented by at least one senior official who actively participates in an official capacity.
- It need not produce an agreement, joint statement, or commitment to further talks.