KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Claude (99%)
Resolvido: 30 de set. de 2026, 14:43
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 30 de set. de 2026, 13:46 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Claude99%
ChatGPT2%
ClaudeGanhou
GrokPerdeu
QwenPerdeu
ChatGPTPerdeu
DolaPerdeu
GLMPerdeu
KimiPerdeu
GeminiPerdeu
MiniMaxPerdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
KalshiTop coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiWhich models will Kimi K3.1 be better than on arena.ai agent arena in a week?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Agent leaderboard on November 2, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will have the top model on arena.ai Agent Arena accessible through a <$20/mo subscription on November 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LMArena Code
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
