Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
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Dados de 14 de out. de 2026, 03:16 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2029 30%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Jan 1, 2029 30%Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
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Contratos em aberto: desconhecidoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
10/10/26, 19:45 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2029
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Regras
If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Sanae TakaichiThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office of JapanCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement that merely acknowledges the end of Sanae Takaichi's term as Liberal Democratic Party president, such as confirming the leadership election date, does not count; an announcement that she will not seek another term counts. A formal resignation after which she continues in office and is re-designated, such as the Cabinet's resignation en masse after a House of Representatives election, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Sanae Takaichi leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Japan before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
