KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
18,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.4% / 5.7%
Spread
2.3 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
18/12/25, 01:00 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
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FutuurAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketRegras
If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:BBCNBCThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority.
- This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
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+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 363 mil
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- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 mais resultados
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
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- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody??
- A Kalshi cota No em 94% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? é resolvido?
- Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.