KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.0% 99%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
86 €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
6/11/25, 15:00 UTC30/09/26, 12:25 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
KalshiCore PCE YoY - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.6% in August 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 548,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 mais resultados
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.0% em 99% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? é resolvido?
- How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.