KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.5% 84%Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
29 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
6/08/26, 22:00 UTC28/01/31, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The Underlying is the 2030 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2030,” or its equivalent successor publication.
- The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA.
- Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 612,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,9 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
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- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
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- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US nominal GDP growth in 2030?
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.5% em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US nominal GDP growth in 2030 é resolvido?
- US nominal GDP growth in 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 28 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como US nominal GDP growth in 2030 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.