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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaChina20d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before July 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026 1%
Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,7 €

Liquidez

80,3 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.1% / 4.9%

Spread

4800.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

7/01/26, 0:001/07/26, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before July 1, 20261%

Regras

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.