KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 101 88%+2.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
35 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
414,1 €
Liquidez
672,3 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
31/08/26, 21:00 UTC8/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Instacart App Downloads in September
KalshiESPN App Downloads in September
KalshiDraftKings App Downloads in September
KalshiWill Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegras
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de ChatGPT App Downloads in September?
- A Kalshi cota Above 101 em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando ChatGPT App Downloads in September é resolvido?
- ChatGPT App Downloads in September deverá ser resolvido em 8 de outubro de 2026.
- Como ChatGPT App Downloads in September é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.