KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 80%
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
16.0% / 20.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
15/09/26, 20:45 UTC15/02/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
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KalshiWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PolymarketWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- € 61,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,6 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%+1.0pt40.5%
- 3.7%-1.5pt24.3%
- 3.5%+5.5pt20.7%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 186,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- 3.5–3.9%-5.8pt56.3%
- 4.0-4.4%-2.5pt16.7%
- 2.5–2.9%-0.1pt10.4%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.1pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 mais resultados
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- September Inflation China - Annual
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- CPI core in September
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will inflation get this year?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027?
- A Kalshi cota No em 80% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027 é resolvido?
- Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 15 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes.