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Dados de 25 de set. de 2026, 10:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 1680K 0%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
24/09/26, 16:00 UTC1/10/26, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Regras
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 is at least
- 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 19, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1690K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No-3.0pt89.1%
- Yes+3.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 52,4 mil
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%98%
- Above 3.2%97%
- Above 3.1%-1.0pt97%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 467,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 19,4 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 293,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
- Above 545,000 jobs97%
- Above 550,000 jobs+4.0pt91%
- Above 555,000 jobs+4.0pt53%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 101,5 mil
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,00094%
- Above 0+2.0pt88%
- Above 10,000-1.0pt85%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 83,5 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.7%99%
- Above 3.8%98%
- Above 4.9%98%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 141,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,3 mil
- Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession this year?
- Recession in 2027?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- CPI core in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in November
- CPI core in November 2026
- September Unemployment Rate
- US real GDP growth in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026?
- A Kalshi cota At least 1680K em 0% em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 é resolvido?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 is at least