KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Alibaba 78%+3.0ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
11,6 mil €
Liquidez
14,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
31/08/26, 14:0114/09/26, 14:00
Tendências
Regras
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercados abertos
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 934,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 195 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 8,3 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 mais resultados
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 31,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 31,6 mil
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 mais resultados
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?
- A Kalshi cota Alibaba em 78% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th é resolvido?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th deverá ser resolvido em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.