KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Hike 1-25bps (99%)
Resolvido: 10 de set. de 2026, 13:31
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Hike 1-25bps 96.1%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
75,8 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado22/07/26, 21:00 UTC10/09/26, 12:14 UTC
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Maintain current rate2%
Hike 1-25bps99%
Hike more than 25bps1%
Cut more than 25bps1%
96.1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExCentral Bank of Colombia decision in September
PolymarketFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Regras
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).