KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Hike 25bps 84.8%+1.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
75 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
3,6 mil €
Liquidez
41,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
28/07/26, 21:1518/09/26, 2:29
Tendências
Regras
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm 25 bps increase 86% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 13 pt
- Também disponível em Futuur — Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 72%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Bank of Japan Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 85%
Mercados abertos
Central BanksKALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts+30.0pt66%
- Exactly 4 cuts-19.0pt21.4%
- 7 or more cuts-12.0pt5.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 61,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11,6 mil
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+2.0pt63.4%
- H 25+1.0pt22.3%
- C 25+1.0pt8.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity+5.0pt79%
- Independent / Independence70%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase85%
- No change-0.5pt14%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease+1.6pt90%
- No Change-2.0pt10%
- 50+ bps increase0%
+2 mais resultados
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea rate decision in August
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Bank of Japan rate decision in September?
- A Kalshi cota Hike 25bps em 85% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Bank of Japan rate decision in September é resolvido?
- Bank of Japan rate decision in September deverá ser resolvido em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Bank of Japan rate decision in September é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Bank of Japan rate decision in September está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur, Polymarket.