KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Cut 25bps 80.7%-2.0ptLíder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
784,9 €
Liquidez
14,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
4/08/26, 2:0016/09/26, 21:29
Tendências
Regras
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Mercados abertos
Central BanksKALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts+30.0pt66%
- Exactly 4 cuts-19.0pt21.4%
- 7 or more cuts-12.0pt5.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 61,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11,6 mil
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+2.0pt63.4%
- H 25+1.0pt22.3%
- C 25+1.0pt8.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity+5.0pt79%
- Independent / Independence70%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase85%
- No change-0.5pt14%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease+1.6pt90%
- No Change-2.0pt10%
- 50+ bps increase0%
+2 mais resultados
- Bank of Japan rate decision in September
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea rate decision in August
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September?
- A Kalshi cota Cut 25bps em 81% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September é resolvido?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September deverá ser resolvido em 16 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.