KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 119,000,000 99%Líder entre 6 opções
At least 119,000,000 99%Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,9 mil €
Contratos em aberto
6,9 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/10/26, 21:00 UTC25/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegras
If at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
- The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runoff) of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 119,000,000
- If at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 121,000,000
- If at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 123,000,000
- If at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 125,000,000
- If at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 127,000,000
- If at least 127,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 129,000,000
- If at least 129,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.