KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 150 81%+2.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
22,5 mil €
Liquidez
24,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
18/09/26, 16:30 UTC29/09/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegras
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 657,4 mil
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 59,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 539,1 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-4.0pt76.2%
- Yes+4.0pt23.8%
- Volume total
- € 10,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 408,6 mil
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+0.7pt96%
- September 3090%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 257,4 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 140,9 mil
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+4.0pt39%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt27%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt14%
+7 mais resultados
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- A Kalshi cota Above 150 em 81% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) é resolvido?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) deverá ser resolvido em 29 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.