KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
39.7 to 39.9 54.2%+21.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
36,1 mil €
Liquidez
83,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
28/08/26, 15:004/09/26, 15:00
Tendências
Regras
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 782,1 mil
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 181,3 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota 39.7 to 39.9 em 54% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? é resolvido?
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.