PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
38.5–38.9 42.7%-3.5ptLíder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
28/08/26, 22:024/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 52%
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 822,8 mil
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly-5.0pt22%
- Scott Jennings18%
- Maria Bartiromo14%
+26 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,3 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt60%
- October 31-1.0pt36%
- September 30-2.0pt17%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis+0.3pt5%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 53,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 275,4 mil
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 55,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 262,2 mil
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- What will Trump say during his GB News interview?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump approval rating on September 4??
- A Polymarket cota 38.5–38.9 em 43% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump approval rating on September 4? é resolvido?
- Trump approval rating on September 4? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Trump approval rating on September 4? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Onde mais Trump approval rating on September 4? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.