KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 79%
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
20.0% / 29.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
19/08/26, 22:00 UTC6/08/27, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?
KalshiWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 3% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 4% in Q2 2026?
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ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRegras
If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The market will use the 12-month percent change reported by BLS in the Employment Situation release for series CES0500000003.
- Settlement is based on the value initially reported for that reference month and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,4 mil
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027??
- A Kalshi cota No em 79% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? é resolvido?
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de agosto de 2027.
- Como Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.