KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 5.63% or below (99%)
Resolvido: 6 de out. de 2026, 02:49
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
5.63% or below
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 24 de out. de 2026, 14:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
5.55% or below86%
5.54% or below70%
5.51% or below34%
5.57% or below77%
5.48% or below54%
5.34% or below91%
5.39% or below81%
5.58% or below84%
5.41% or below56%
5.38% or below88%
5.37% or below90%
5.36% or below60%
5.35% or below90%
5.42% or below87%
5.4% or below65%
5.33% or below99%
5.32% or below99%
5.31% or below99%
5.3% or below99%
5.29% or below99%
5.28% or below0%
5.27% or below0%
5.26% or below21%
5.25% or below0%
5.24% or below23%
5.63% or belowGanhou
5.62% or belowPerdeu
5.61% or belowPerdeu
5.59% or belowPerdeu
5.58% or belowPerdeu
5.56% or belowPerdeu
5.54% or belowPerdeu
5.53% or belowPerdeu
5.52% or belowPerdeu
5.51% or belowPerdeu
5.49% or belowPerdeu
5.46% or belowPerdeu
5.44% or belowPerdeu
5.33% or belowPerdeu
5.32% or belowPerdeu
5.31% or belowPerdeu
5.3% or belowPerdeu
5.29% or belowPerdeu
5.5% or belowPerdeu
5.48% or belowPerdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsAtivos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.64% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.