PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 93%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
6.2% / 6.9%
Spread
0.7 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-4.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
29/06/26, 19:28 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiWhen will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%?
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain.
- Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify.