Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffCriptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 91%
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.2% / 7.8%
Spread
6.6 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
3/12/25, 23:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
- The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
- The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
- The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
- If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
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- Volume total
- € 25,1 mil
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- 5.31% or above99%
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POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
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KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
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KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
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- Volume total
- € 8,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,5 mil
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain??
- A Kalshi cota No em 91% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? é resolvido?
- Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.