FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 88%
Não 88%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baixa liquidezTraders
6
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine recognize the separation of any portion of its territory in 2026?
FutuurWill Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will formally recognize Transnistria as an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or decrees issued by the Russian government recognizing Transnistria’s independence.
- If Russia officially declares recognition of Transnistria as an independent state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Conditional recognition or statements short of formal recognition may require intent-based assessment by Futuur.
- If official Russian statements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.