FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Ukraine 7%Líder entre 3 opções
Ukraine 7%Qualidade do mercado
27 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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1,8 mil €
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12
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0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
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This event predicts which of the listed countries will formally accede as full members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC.
- A country is considered to have joined NATO only if it completes the formal accession process and is officially recognized as a member state.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement by NATO confirming that the country has deposited its instrument of accession and has been accepted as a member.
- If NATO’s official confirmation is delayed, incomplete, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from major, reputable international news organizations reporting the formal completion of NATO membership.
- Resolution will prioritize the substantive outcome over procedural technicalities, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.